November 28, 2012
I'm starting to think last season traumatized me. I've got this jonesy, pessimistic mindset right now—not helped much by the fact that the big Southern California ranges are currently bare-bones dry at all elevations. Check that: you can find a few sickly snowmaking patches at Mountain High and the Big Bear resorts. NOAA is showing moisture coming, at least, but temperatures look far from ideal.
The NOAA screenshot is giving us a point forecast for a spot just off Mount Baldy's northeast face, at an elevation of 9555 feet. Though the site seems a little glitchy right now, NOAA does a pretty job getting these point forecast temperatures right within any given 24 hour window. They're calling for snow or snow/rain into Monday, but not once do the temperatures get below freezing.
Remember, skiing at our local resorts (and a good bit of our SoCal backcountry) takes place in the 6500-8800' elevation range, so if it's not freezing at 10K, well, you get the picture. I guess it is still only November, and the thing to be happy about is that we're obviously in the storm track, at least. Regardless, things look much better in the Sierra, with Mammoth weather showing lows in the twenties and probably a solid three feet of forecast snow (or more) over the coming week...